December 06, 2006
Horse outrun by car

I wonder if you can actually find turn of the (20th) century newspapers with stories about how horseless carriages were in fact now outpacing even the fastest horses? That is the only response I can think of regarding this story. Deep Blue was designed ten years ago. That's 6.6 applications of Moore's law ago, so the average PC is 80-100 times faster now. Deep Blue was a 30 CPU system running at much lover clock speeds (granted with a lot of hardwareoptimizations tailored to chess). Time to requote George Dyson:

For 30 years I have been wondering, what indication of its existence might we expect from a true AI? Certainly not any explicit revelation, which might spark a movement to pull the plug. Anomalous accumulation or creation of wealth might be a sign, or an unquenchable thirst for raw information, storage space, and processing cycles, or a concerted attempt to secure an uninterrupted, autonomous power supply. But the real sign, I suspect, would be a circle of cheerful, contented, intellectually and physically well-nourished people surrounding the AI. There wouldn't be any need for True Believers, or the downloading of human brains or anything sinister like that: just a gradual, gentle, pervasive and mutually beneficial contact between us and a growing something else.

Posted by Claus at December 06, 2006 03:06 AM | TrackBack (0)
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